Folks,
Solar Maximum Continues through the Equinox.
This is Far From Over.
UPDATE: 2.2.2013 - spaceweather.com
What's up in space | 
                      
 SUNSPOT OF INTEREST: 
                               A break in the quiet could be in 
                              the offing. Sunspot AR1667 is crackling with C-class 
                              solar flares and appears capable of producing an 
                              even stronger M-class eruption. The sunspot is turning 
                              toward Earth, so future blasts would likely be geoeffective. 
                              
                              Solar flare alerts: 
                              text, 
                              voice. 
                             
LOUD SOLAR RADIO 
                              BURST:  Yesterday, Feb. 2nd, the 
                              solar activity forecast called for "quiet." 
                              In fact, says amateur radio astronomer Thomas Ashcraft, 
                              "it was really loud. There were several strong 
                              solar radio emissions including one super-strong 
                              Type III burst at 1954 UT. I captured it at 28 MHz 
                              and 21.1 MHz as it totally drowned out a short wave 
                              voice transmission." Click on the image to 
                              listen:  
The source of the burst was sunspot 
                              AR1667, which unleashed a C2.9-class solar flare 
                              just before the roar emerged from the loudspeaker 
                              of Ashcraft's radio telescope. Type 
                              III solar radio bursts are produced by electrons 
                              accelerated to high energies (1 to 100 keV) by solar 
                              flares. As the electrons stream outward from the 
                              sun, they excite plasma oscillations and radio waves 
                              in the sun's atmosphere.  
When these radio waves head in the direction of Earth, they make themselves heard in the loudspeakers of shortwave radios around the dayside of the planet. 
More radio bursts could be in the 
                              offing. Sunspot AR1667 is crackling with C-class 
                              solar flares and seems poised for even stronger 
                              M-class eruptions. 
                              
                              Solar flare alerts: 
                              text, 
                              voice. 
                             
 COMET LEMMON UPDATE: 
                               Glowing much brighter than expected, 
                              Comet Lemmon (C/2012 F6) is gliding through the 
                              skies of the southern hemisphere about 92 million 
                              miles (0.99 AU) from Earth. Amateur astronomer Rolf 
                              Wahl Olsen sends this picture from his backyard 
                              in Auckland, New Zealand: 
"I took this image of Comet Lemmon 
                              on the 28th of January," says Olsen. "It 
                              has become quite bright now and has also grown a 
                              beautiful tail." 
Discovered on March 23rd 2012 by the 
                              Mount Lemmon survey in Arizona, Comet Lemmon is 
                              on an 
                              elliptical orbit with a period of almost 11,000 
                              years. This is its first visit to the inner solar 
                              system in a very long time. The comet is brightening 
                              as it approaches the sun; light 
                              curves suggest that it will reach 2nd or 3rd 
                              magnitude, similar to the stars in the Big Dipper, 
                              in late March when it approaches the sun at about 
                              the same distance as Venus (0.7 AU).  
At the moment, the comet is glowing 
                              like a 7th magnitude star, just below the limit 
                              of naked-eye visibility. To capture the faint details 
                              of the comet's filamentary tail, Olsen used a 10-inch 
                              telescope, a sensitive CCD camera, and an exposure 
                              time of 1 hour 17 minutes. Complete photo details 
                              are given here. 
Lemmon's green color comes from the 
                              gases that make up its coma. Jets spewing from the 
                              comet's nucleus contain cyanogen (CN: a poisonous 
                              gas found in many comets) and diatomic carbon (C2). 
                              Both substances glow green when illuminated by sunlight 
                              in the near-vacuum of space.  
Northern hemisphere observers will 
                              get their first good look at the comet in early 
                              April; until then it is a target exclusively for 
                              astronomers in the southern hemisphere. 
                              
                             
 
On 
                              February 3, 2013                              there were 1376 
                              potentially hazardous asteroids.  
Recent 
                              & Upcoming Earth-asteroid encounters: 
                               
  | 
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January AVGs: Solar Flux ---.-
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Sunspots --.-
| Flare Max M1.7

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 Feb 3, 2013 2:20am
Quick video capturing the C8.4 Solar Flare. Because the flare was impulsive in nature, not much in the way of a Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) is expected. Sunspot 1667 continues to develop and may produce a moderate solar flare within the next 12-24 hours.
Added 02/03/2013 @ 07:50 UTC
C8.4 Solar Flare
Solar activity increased to near moderate levels with a solar flare registering C8.4 at 06:10 UTC. The source of the flare was Sunspot 1667 located in the northeast quadrant. Keep an eye on this region for further activity.

Updated 02/02/2013 @ 14:15 UTC
Solar Update / CME Update
Solar activity is currently low with a minor C1.2 solar flare detected around Sunspot 1665. Sunspot 1667 is producing B-Class activity after rotating into view off the northeast limb. There will remain a chance for C-Class flares.
A CME impact is expected by February 3rd due to an early morning filament eruption on January 31. Only minor geomagnetic disturbances are expected at very high latitudes. Click HERE to watch the latest WSA-Enlil Solar Wind Prediction model.
The Visible Solar Disk (Saturday) - SDO

Sunspot 1665 in CaK (Friday) - Ron Cottrell / Kitt Peak

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Added 01/31/2013 @ 17:20 UTC
Northeast Eruption
A large prominence stretching hundreds of thousands of kilometers located in the northeast quadrant erupted on Thursday. A Coronal Mass Ejection (CME) will most likely be flung into space. Images and movie below by SDO. More to follow.
CME UPDATE: As expected, the northeast quadrant prominence eruption on Thursday flung a Coronal Mass Ejection into space. The plasma cloud was directed to the northeast and away from Earth. This image by Lasco C3.

Click HERE for a closer look.
 




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