Friday, October 5, 2012

Solar Weather Update - New Coronal Blob CME - 5.10.2012

I know that the Solar Activity  has been waning over the past month or so.

This of course does not mean that the Solar Flares/CME's are done by any means.  In fact, Solar Flares can happen at any time and do not need to be part of the Storm Season (every 11 years).

There is very little info on this new one, I don't even think that NOAA Space Weather has a Number for this one.  It could possibly be from a volcanic type eruption of AR 1582.

Will update post as new information becomes available.

UPDATED 21:54 CST 5.10.2012

Update: Plasma Blob CME: Glancing Blow with Geomagnetic Storms (G1). That's a bunch of Hits over the past 2 Weeks. Our magnetosphere is like Chainmail i.e. It takes Damage and can be Weakened/Defeated. FYI

Yesterday's plasma blob (CME) is expected to arrive late on the 8th of October. G1 (Minor) geomagnetic storms are expected and a G1 Watch has been issued for the 8th.

A picture of the latest WSA-ENLIL numerical model output is attached.

Please visit www.spaceweather.gov

for the latest watches, warnings, alerts and forecasts.
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EMERGING CME: A coronal mass ejection (CME) left the sun this morning and it could be heading for Earth. Orbiting at the L1 Lagrange point, the Solar and Heliosphere Observatory captured this image of the expanding cloud:
The source of the cloud appears to be an eruption of magnetic fields connecting sunspots 1582 and 1579. This conclusion is preliminary, however, and may be revised later today when more data are available. For now it appears that the CME will deliver a glancing blow to Earth's magnetic field on Oct. 7-8.
http://www.solarham.net/pictures/cmemodel2.jpg
As I reported very early this morning, a Coronal Mass Ejection is visible in the latest STEREO Ahead imagery. A new CME prediction model put together by the Goddard Space Flight Center shows that the plasma cloud is Earth directed and could impact our planet by October 8th. More updates on this later. SolarHam.com



A new plasma blob (CME) bursts forth from the sun!

It appears to be moving at about 1.3 million miles per hour (roughly 600 km/s). This image of the eruption was captured by the coronagraph aboard NASAs STEREO-A spacecraft.

Forecasters are on the job analyzin' the blob. We're using the available coronagraph imagery and preparing a WSA-ENLIL numerical model run to see if, and when, the CME would get here. Stay tuned.

Please visit www.spaceweather.gov

for the latest alerts, watches, warnings and forecasts.

Wednesday, March 27, 2013

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