Monday, October 27, 2014

Solar Weather Alert: Multiple X-Class Flares from AR 2192 - 8 M-Class in past 24 hours | solarham

Space Weather Alert:

Multiple (6) X-Class Solar Flares from Region #AR2192
Be ready for possible Coronal Mass Ejection/Seismic Impact...


10/27/2014 @ 14:40 UTC
#X-Flare #6 Detected

A strong X2.0 solar flare, now the sixth X-Class event around region 2192, was detected at 14:47 UTC. The event triggered a strong R3 radio black on the sunlit side of Earth. So far the event does not appear to be eruptive, meaning a noteworthy CME is not expected. More details to follow. Click HERE for an updated event log.

A strong X2.0 solar flare, now the sixth X-Class event around region 2192, was detected at 14:47 UTC Monday morning (Oct 27). The event triggered a strong R3 radio black on the sunlit side of Earth. More details to follow.

Updated 10/27/2014 @ 11:30 UTC

Solar Update / Flare Watch
Good morning folks. Below is an updated look at the visible solar disk on Monday. Solar activity continued at high levels with at least 8 M-Class solar flares detected around region 2192 during the past 24 hours. Noteworthy events include an M7.1 flare at 00:34 UTC, and an M6.7 flare at 10:09 UTC Monday morning. Despite the ongoing flare output, we have yet to observe a substantial coronal mass ejection. The active region (2192) will remain a threat for additional moderate to strong solar flares as it gradually approaches the west limb. All other visible sunspot regions were stable. Continue to monitor SolarHam.com for the most up to date spaceweather data and imagery.



SUMMARY: Potential Impacts: Area of impact consists of large portions of the sunlit side of Earth, strongest at the sub-solar point.Radio - Wide area blackout of HF (high frequency) radio communication for about an hour. - http://www.solarham.net/data/events/oct27_2014_x2.0/index.htm

Updated 10/26/2014 @ 11:45 UTC
Let's Make it Five

Region 2192 will not let up. Attached image below courtesy of the Solar Dynamics Observatory (SDO) captures the fifth X-Class solar flare around the active region, this time an X2.0 peaking at 10:56 UTC Sunday morning.


A strong R3 radio blackout was observed on the sunlit side of Earth. The latest event so far appears to have failed once again in producing a coronal mass ejection (CME). With the exception of producing bright flashes of energy as magnetic fields tangle, the magnetic layout and structure of the region is having a hard time releasing plamsa. Click HERE to visit the updated event log.

Prepared jointly by the U.S. Dept. of Commerce, NOAA,
Space Weather Prediction Center and the U.S. Air Force.
UPDATED 2014 October 27 1230 UTC

.24 hr Summary...
Solar activity reached high levels.  Region 2192 (S12W52,
Fkc/beta-gamma-delta) produced a pair of R2 (Moderate) flares (M7 at
27/0034 UTC and M6 at 27/1009 UTC) as well as six R1 (Minor) flares this
period.  Region 2192 began to show signs of minor penumbral decay and
umbral consolidation but persists as the most productive and threatening
region on the solar disk.  The other regions on the visible disk were
either stable or in decay.  No Earth-directed coronal mass ejections
(CMEs) were observed this period.
    
.Forecast...
Continued M-class (R1-R2 (Minor-Moderate)) flare activity is expected
and X-class (R3 or greater) flare activity is likely over the next three
days (27-29 Oct) due to Region 2192s persistent activity.

[Full Report and Forecasts]
[Report of Solar-Geophysical Activity]

Source Report:





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