Wednesday, September 10, 2014

Space Weather Alert: Major X1.6 Solar Flare and GeoEffective Coronal Mass Ejection from AR2158 - Geomagnetic Storm Watch issued | solarham/NOAA

With the recent surge in Solar Flares and Coronal Mass Ejections, MP is issuing a CME/Quake Alert.
This Flare and #CME are Earth Facing and could result in Radio and Grid interruption as well as #Seismic Events.

Solar Weather Alert:

Major X1.6 #SolarFlare #CME - #GeoEffective

Major Solar Flare:
Geoeffective Sunspot 2158 produced a strong solar flare this afternoon measuring X1.6 at 17:45 UTC. The event event was associated with a Type II Radio emission with an estimated velocity of 3750 km/s. This is indicative of a strong coronal mass ejection, however updated coronagraph imagery is ultimately required to determine this.


ALERT: Type II Radio Emission
Begin Time: 2014 Sep 10 1727 UTC
Estimated Velocity: 3750 km/s
Description: Type II emissions occur in association with eruptions on the sun and typically indicate a coronal mass ejection is associated with a flare event.

Information: Conditions in the D region of the ionosphere have a dramatic effect on high frequency (HF) communications and low frequency (LF) navigation systems. The global D Region Absorption Predictions (D-RAP) depicts the D region at high latitudes where it is driven by particles as well as low latitudes, where photons cause the prompt changes. The D-Layer map above is synced with the GOES-15 X-Ray flux data also shown above. Click HERE for more detailed information on this data.

Click HERE for an updated event log. Stay tuned for details regarding a CME.

Geoeffective Sunspot 2158 produced a strong solar flare this afternoon (Sept. 10) measuring X1.6 at 17:45 UTC. Because the region is in a great position, if a coronal mass ejection (CME) is associated, it will likely be directed towards our planet. 


Added 09/09/2014 @ 18:50 UTC
Geomagnetic Storm Watch Issued
G2 (Moderate) Storm watch issued by NOAA/SWPC beginning early on Sept. 12. Geomagnetic conditions will of course depend on the strength of the actual incoming shock impact, followed by solar wind characteristics (Bz/IMF) in the hours following any such impact. The coronal mass ejection (CME) was the result of an M4.5 solar flare around region 2158 early Wednesday (UTC). More to follow in the days ahead.
Updated 09/10/2014 @ 11:05 UTC
Solar Update
Good morning. Here is an updated look at the visible solar disk on Wednesday. Solar activity is currently low with only low level C-Flares detected within the past 24 hours. Regions 2157 and 2158 are now in a good geoeffective position. New spot growth was observed within the central portion of 2157 and the active region will remain a threat for an isolated M-Flare. To the north, region 2158 consists of one large dark sunspot core, surrounded by several small spots. This region will also remain a threat for an isolated M-Class event. All other visible regions are currently stable. A prominence eruption off the west limb produced a narrow coronal mass ejection (CME) that was directed to the west and away from Earth.
Updated 09/09/2014 @ 01:10 UTC
M4.5 Solar Flare and CME
Region 2158 produced a long duration M4.5 solar flare this evening peaking at 00:29 UTC. The event was associated with Type II and Type IV radio emissions, along with a 10cm Radio Burst (Ten Flare) measuring 370 solar flux units and lasting 10 minutes. A coronal mass ejection (CME) is now visible in the latest LASCO C2 imagery. More details to follow regarding a possible Earth directed component. Click HERE to view an updated event log for this solar flare.


Published on Sep 10, 2014

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